TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes21c14,913$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.286726.9%18 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No79c2,500$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+98.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No79c2,146$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.667062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c2,127$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+1,047.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No78c2,072$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.037648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36011644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No79c1,950$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No80c1,605$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7153645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,566$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.752,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c1,394$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3375142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes21c1,369$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.51827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c1,046$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8134342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes20c1,014$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902454.2%13 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+73.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes12c900$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Yes21c837.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes19c800$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes3c799.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes19c796.75$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1351136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes21c736.91$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.756543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c731.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5210128.7%29 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes18c630$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.44219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes16c615.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1944749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c578.6$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0476234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes18c408$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.445940.7%24 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes21c388.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6755058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes19c289.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes6c260$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.822332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No79c253$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.138764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.55326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes22c227.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c211.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6213332.3%43 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No79c202$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4215453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149621.9%21 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No77c120.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282556%14 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes19c118$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.446639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…4f68backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes19c108.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0915829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3928…78d0backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…06b4backed Yes20c100.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7478…6562backed Yes20c100.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…d632backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f20…87c9backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+72.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes22c92.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Yes22c77.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c73.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37545.3%34 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ce…aa3abacked Yes18c66.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2312162.8%76 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf647…c13ebacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes17c60.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3323046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes20c60.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.139746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3312…e964backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.513256.1%74 W · 58 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.525659.4%152 W · 104 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.244252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No79c40.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.544858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2512259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.258261%50 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.255558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.255459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.255459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2511360.2%68 W · 45 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.255757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2511759.8%70 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2512757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2512657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fc…0ab0backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2512356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2511661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2512858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2513254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2511063.6%70 W · 40 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.259861.2%60 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.259159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.