Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845f65cf3ccaf04cc6d5b2c2092bcbd56a793c2f12fe1b5f247f8b1df682d2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 7,582$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 4,222$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.91 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 4,170$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.57 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 4,021$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,574$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 3,443$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.42 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 3,074$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,022$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,900$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,800$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 2,699$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.59 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 2,670$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 2,242$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,133$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 2,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,442$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,150$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.63 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 1,123$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 1,115$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed PARIVISION | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked PARIVISION | 78c | 798$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 776.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 772.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 746.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 733.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed PARIVISION | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed PARIVISION | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed PARIVISION | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 559.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 550.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 518.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 77c | 489.42$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed PARIVISION | 76c | 473.64$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…b412backed PARIVISION | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa082…320abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed PARIVISION | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 80c | 376.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 368.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 361.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 349.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 331$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 303.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 294.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 286.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed PARIVISION | 76c | 243.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 230.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 230.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed PARIVISION | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed PARIVISION | 77c | 219$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 216$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed PARIVISION | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 199.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…df69backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 159.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 154.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.