NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd277196552fc532d3aa80aad1e84e293b57f8bc24499d86ff703cc14ab71713c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Mavericks, Cavaliers
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,564,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,554,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,564,485 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks	11c	454,624$49,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405,525.39	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks	11c	368,151$40,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327,654.71	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks	11c	117,522$12,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,594.94	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Cavaliers	5c	99,900$4,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,994.99	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Mavericks	11c	55,000$5,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,044.82	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks	36c	53,735$19,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,402.49	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Cavaliers	70c	44,629$31,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,261.95	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks	9c	40,172$3,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,438.86	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Cavaliers	30c	39,316$11,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,676.02	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks	9c	32,897$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,967.69	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Mavericks	9c	31,900$2,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,029	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	54c	29,621$16,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,535.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers	15c	26,407$3,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,929.99	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	71c	21,934$15,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,679.19	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks	11c	21,508$2,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,137.45	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks	14c	18,438$2,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,854.63	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	44c	17,150$7,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,548.5	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers	68c	16,213$11,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,039.29	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks	28c	14,135$3,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,172.62	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	77c	13,438$10,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,385.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22c6…cf2abacked Mavericks	11c	12,800$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,404	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks	11c	12,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,680	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers	0c	11,757$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks	9c	10,739$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,772.7	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Mavericks	39c	10,164$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,164.15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	9c	10,150$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,236.3	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Cavaliers	0c	10,139$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Mavericks	9c	9,000$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,189.96	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Mavericks	9c	8,700$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,917	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Mavericks	37c	8,135$2,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,146.31	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Mavericks	16c	7,690$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,467.45	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks	9c	7,575$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,862.37	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers	0c	7,555$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks	9c	7,500$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,825	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers	16c	7,449$1,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,226.41	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Mavericks	13c	6,989$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,088.57	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks	69c	6,659$4,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,052.58	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks	9c	6,636$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,038.76	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Mavericks	71c	6,524$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,903.48	181	51.9%94 W · 87 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Mavericks	11c	6,055$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,388.63	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb27…b605backed Mavericks	48c	6,043$2,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,116.41	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks	11c	6,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,340	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb103…1745backed Mavericks	72c	5,883$4,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.34	60	65%39 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Mavericks	18c	5,697$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,697.26	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Mavericks	11c	5,491$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,886.66	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mavericks	16c	5,217$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,393.15	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ff…549cbacked Mavericks	9c	5,200$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,732	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Cavaliers	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks	11c	5,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,450	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Mavericks	9c	4,972$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,524.18	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers	2c	4,909$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.46	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Cavaliers	65c	4,614$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks	39c	4,581$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,782.24	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Mavericks	44c	4,556$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,539.72	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Mavericks	36c	4,413$1,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,806.77	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Mavericks	17c	4,386$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,632.78	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers	0c	4,095$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Mavericks	11c	4,088$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,638.32	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Mavericks	11c	3,900$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,470.99	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6067…5f66backed Mavericks	12c	3,750$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cavaliers	62c	3,740$2,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,326.32	263	53.6%141 W · 122 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	57c	3,635$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.17	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks	32c	3,575$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431.11	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers	27c	3,392$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.97	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks	40c	3,341$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.95	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Cavaliers	15c	3,244$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.43	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers	0c	3,038$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Cavaliers	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…681ebacked Cavaliers	1c	2,972$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca15…f1b3backed Mavericks	17c	2,941$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,441.18	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Mavericks	17c	2,901$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,408.02	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks	15c	2,641$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,239.09	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Cavaliers	38c	2,516$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.51	161	62.7%101 W · 60 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Mavericks	27c	2,479$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809.4	134	29.9%40 W · 94 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks	42c	2,360$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.52	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks	44c	2,338$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.15	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Cavaliers	57c	2,330$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.09	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked Mavericks	32c	2,326$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.32	291	65.6%191 W · 100 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Mavericks	10c	2,136$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,932.78	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Cavaliers	7c	2,121$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Mavericks	16c	2,079$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,746.72	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Mavericks	19c	1,943$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.53	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Mavericks	46c	1,873$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.92	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mavericks	11c	1,856$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.42	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Cavaliers	19c	1,820$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.43	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Cavaliers	66c	1,801$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.61	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c2…7414backed Mavericks	9c	1,800$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mavericks	39c	1,795$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,094.87	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks	13c	1,705$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.64	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks	13c	1,698$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.58	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Mavericks	15c	1,665$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.25	139	54%75 W · 64 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Mavericks	12c	1,625$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Cavaliers	61c	1,614$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.87	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Mavericks	23c	1,609$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.76	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks	9c	1,600$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Cavaliers	26c	1,600$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.6	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Cavaliers	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	436	53.2%232 W · 204 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Mavericks	38c	1,543$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.59	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Cavaliersthis page
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event