NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1764b392625b7ca6f1766bda0afc95d4e935800ea9ea3f60450dc5eb41b8b306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Cavaliers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 270,491$134,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,801.18 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 88,680$44,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,562.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 24,089$12,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,119.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 16,556$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Cavaliers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 12,430$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caf…7ef6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 11,171$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,776$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.17 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,881$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.33 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…6ed9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,875$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,830$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a7c2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf556…d2c2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,211$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,071$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,629$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.79 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,775$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.6 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,504$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.78 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Cavaliers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers | 51c | 870$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 50c | 777.69$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…dd09backed Mavericks | 51c | 687.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Cavaliers | 52c | 616.54$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Cavaliers | 43c | 572$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Mavericks | 50c | 410.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Mavericks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Cavaliers | 46c | 395.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Cavaliers | 52c | 384.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Mavericks | 49c | 321.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Cavaliers | 42c | 285.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Cavaliers | 30c | 264.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 201.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mavericks | 50c | 201.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 15c | 200.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Cavaliers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 106.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 92.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Cavaliers | 51c | 91.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 85.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cavaliers | 51c | 81.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Mavericks | 49c | 79.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 65.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Cavaliers | 47c | 63.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks | 49c | 61.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…118fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Mavericks | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mavericks | 65c | 50.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…1fd2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…4492backed Cavaliers | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Mavericks | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 46.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Cavaliers | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Cavaliers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Cavaliers | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks | 63c | 36.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Mavericks | 63c | 35.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Cavaliers | 37c | 35.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…da72backed Mavericks | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Cavaliers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks | 49c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)this page
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.