TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Cavaliers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,895 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks50c270,491$134,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,801.1854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers50c88,680$44,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,562.611,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers50c24,089$12,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,119.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers50c20,200$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1001,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers51c20,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers50c16,556$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,277.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Cavaliers50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers50c12,500$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers51c12,430$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6caf…7ef6backed Cavaliers51c11,171$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Cavaliers50c10,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers50c8,776$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.171,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers51c7,881$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.331,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccf…6ed9backed Cavaliers51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks47c3,875$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.62,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers53c3,830$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Cavaliers51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf556…d2c2backed Cavaliers51c3,211$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers46c3,071$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers51c2,629$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.7934851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Cavaliers53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers50c1,775$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.62,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers50c1,520$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers50c1,504$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76535749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Cavaliers52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers51c870$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.754443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers50c777.69$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b22…dd09backed Mavericks51c687.43$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.432045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Cavaliers52c616.54$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Cavaliers43c572$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Cavaliers51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Mavericks50c410.82$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Mavericks49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Cavaliers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Cavaliers51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Cavaliers46c395.18$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6750239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Cavaliers52c384.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Mavericks49c321.67$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.051650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Cavaliers42c285.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Cavaliers51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Cavaliers30c264.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers50c201.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Mavericks50c201.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5611452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers15c200.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Mavericks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Cavaliers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10436449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Mavericks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Cavaliers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Cavaliers52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers51c106.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Cavaliers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Cavaliers52c92.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Cavaliers51c91.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4720847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers51c85.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Cavaliers51c81.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Mavericks49c79.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5515459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Cavaliers41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Cavaliers46c65.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb756…5846backed Cavaliers47c63.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305066%33 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks49c61.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.611,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Cavaliers49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d94…954ebacked Mavericks51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Cavaliers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Mavericks75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers50c53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Mavericks65c50.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe71f…1fd2backed Cavaliers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…4492backed Cavaliers52c48.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Mavericks49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4811847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Cavaliers51c46.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8712739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Cavaliers52c43.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6827350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Cavaliers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Cavaliers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Cavaliers50c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.927357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Cavaliers50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.523453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks63c36.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Mavericks63c35.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.235850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Cavaliers37c35.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5e…da72backed Mavericks57c35.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Cavaliers51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mavericks49c25.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Cavaliers51c24.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.514054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Cavaliers51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.224334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Cavaliers52c19.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.128243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.