NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809df73a43f9e6e73c7e54b5d779aa455cadc7b9ca3cb784c83fb41f86824949

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Cavaliers, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $183,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks	56c	97,007$54,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,683.23	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	44c	74,760$32,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,894.4	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks	55c	22,674$12,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,124.63	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Cavaliers	44c	21,539$9,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,477.16	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks	54c	7,844$4,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,606.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	49c	5,203$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers	47c	4,783$2,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,248.01	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	54c	4,709$2,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160.58	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	43c	4,330$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,868.37	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	46c	3,825$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	46c	3,762$1,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.55	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers	43c	2,753$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.63	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers	43c	2,484$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Cavaliers	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Cavaliers	43c	2,320$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.6	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	45c	2,222$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.44	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Cavaliers	53c	2,134$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.24	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	48c	2,029$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.41	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers	43c	1,900$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks	55c	1,222$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.08	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Mavericks	56c	1,153$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.32	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers	45c	1,136$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.52	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers	44c	1,089$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.16	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Cavaliers	45c	1,024$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.75	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers	52c	578.48$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers	49c	440.05$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.62	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…c7fbbacked Mavericks	50c	404.6$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…22f9backed Cavaliers	51c	400.72$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks	49c	381.95$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.79	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	45c	380.48$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers	46c	368$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.28	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers	32c	326.75$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.56	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Cavaliers	49c	306.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.07	95	24.2%23 W · 72 L	-9.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	45c	305.27$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.37	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Mavericks	53c	268.51$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.2	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Cavaliers	40c	262.64$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.33	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks	58c	258.18$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.54	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Cavaliers	46c	249.56$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.78	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Cavaliers	43c	248.56$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.88	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.31per pick	53cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Cavaliers	43c	232.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Cavaliers	49c	186.23$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.65	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Mavericks	57c	175.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.43	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Cavaliers	44c	175$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.81	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-78%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	46c	172.02$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.13	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	40c	170.76$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers	51c	164$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.64	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe687…154bbacked Mavericks	49c	164$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780a…5530backed Mavericks	49c	160$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Mavericks	57c	157.2$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	182	56.6%103 W · 79 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Cavaliers	43c	155.21$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.74	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3b…4309backed Mavericks	49c	152$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.52	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+104%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Cavaliers	44c	149.32$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.7	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	42c	146.13$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.17	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks	55c	136.29$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.95	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	45c	131.54$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers	47c	120.96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.63	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Cavaliers	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers	44c	115.71$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadcf…e210backed Mavericks	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Cavaliers	45c	94.34$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.45	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers	43c	91.6$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Mavericks	53c	91.37$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Mavericks	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	139	56.1%78 W · 61 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Cavaliers	45c	87.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks	53c	82.6$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Mavericks	57c	82.46$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.46	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers	43c	80.96$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbedc…aa38backed Cavaliers	52c	79$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Mavericks	57c	77.07$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.39	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb182…c549backed Cavaliers	51c	77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Cavaliers	47c	74.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Cavaliers	44c	74.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	188	53.7%101 W · 87 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Mavericks	53c	74.26$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe673…d489backed Cavaliers	51c	74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cavaliers	45c	71.2$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac7…367dbacked Mavericks	58c	70.69$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.69	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Mavericks	49c	59.93$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Mavericks	52c	59.16$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.15	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Cavaliers	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Cavaliers	44c	57.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	246	52.8%130 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Cavaliers	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e4…498cbacked Cavaliers	51c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks	49c	53.22$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Cavaliers	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Mavericks	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Cavaliers	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks	56c	46.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.41	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Cavaliers	43c	45.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Cavaliers	40c	45.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Cavaliers	44c	44.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	256	51.6%132 W · 124 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789e…cb5dbacked Cavaliers	51c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Mavericks	49c	41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Mavericks	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Mavericks	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Cavaliers	50c	39.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Mavericks	53c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Cavaliers	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Cavaliers	46c	34.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)this page
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event