NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x761e9e2fb4ce6132a4fdf7b7780f3b5f6893d0f3c50a8409c9f7e18d65f0c0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 26,255$12,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,741.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 52c | 9,445$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.92 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 51c | 5,556$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.97 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…4421backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,804$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 4,412$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.89 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 4,203$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.66 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 3,982$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 2,743$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…0974backed Under | 53c | 2,692$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Over | 47c | 2,361$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…634fbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 1,976$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.41 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,959$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…b18dbacked Under | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,524$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae58backed Under | 54c | 1,472$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…de8ebacked Over | 47c | 1,454$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe942…f7adbacked Over | 46c | 1,410$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…484abacked Under | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 51c | 1,204$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.12 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 1,036$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…4b72backed Over | 47c | 765$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 713.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 47c | 656.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 587.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…437fbacked Over | 47c | 474$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 454.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.33 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 313$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 48c | 312.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 40c | 213.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 209.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 200.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 199.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 188.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4ecdbacked Over | 55c | 171.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 48c | 161.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 48c | 136.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 54c | 129.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 118.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 113.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 104.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 38c | 101.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 93.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 39c | 91.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 76.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 69.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…c1c4backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 61.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 60.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Under | 48c | 53.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 60c | 47.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 35c | 43.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 54c | 40.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 47c | 40.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Over | 49c | 33.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 48c | 30.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 46c | 27.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Over | 51c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 48c | 24.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 56c | 22.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5this page
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.