NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedce81b3dfd28dc6a6a9aca7cd3d993da583a411fd153d40d53d84a90502c3df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Cavaliers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,780 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 59c | 10,410$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.47 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 9,501$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 2,890$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers | 43c | 2,765$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.95 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 58c | 2,094$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,709$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.06 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,613$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 1,316$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cavaliers | 22c | 1,250$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 922.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.33 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Mavericks | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 61c | 737.7$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 697.51$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 646.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.82 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 70c | 531.88$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Mavericks | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 39c | 490.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Cavaliers | 40c | 425.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 58c | 336.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cavaliers | 10c | 303.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Cavaliers | 42c | 269.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 59c | 261.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Mavericks | 69c | 220.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 219.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cavaliers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks | 71c | 210.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Cavaliers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cavaliers | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Mavericks | 61c | 201.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 32c | 192.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers | 43c | 182.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Mavericks | 59c | 175.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Cavaliers | 38c | 174.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Mavericks | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Mavericks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 142.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 46c | 142$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks | 61c | 129.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Mavericks | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 58c | 105.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 56c | 97.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Cavaliers | 40c | 93.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Cavaliers | 42c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Mavericks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…5284backed Mavericks | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cbe4backed Mavericks | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Mavericks | 54c | 80.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 40c | 76.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Mavericks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Mavericks | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…367dbacked Mavericks | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Cavaliers | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Mavericks | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Cavaliers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 52.8%130 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 61.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Mavericks | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Mavericks | 56c | 58.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed Mavericks | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Mavericks | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Cavaliers | 42c | 50.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Mavericks | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers | 31c | 44.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 39.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Cavaliers | 41c | 34.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 34.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Mavericks | 63c | 32.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 58c | 30.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Cavaliers | 40c | 30.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…24c5backed Cavaliers | 40c | 28.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 25.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…65e3backed Mavericks | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Cavaliers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Mavericks | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Mavericks | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Mavericks | 60c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)this page
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.