NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108294ee633eb7aeb32588267c3bed9671732910e82772cf4aaa54167ffaf4a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,338,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,338,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 288,476$149,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,497.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 125,450$60,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,233.91 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 95,895$46,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,563.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 91,489$43,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,620.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 50,578$26,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,146.18 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Under | 51c | 47,400$24,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,174 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…f7abbacked Under | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 49c | 31,124$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,874.4 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…0a2bbacked Under | 51c | 22,451$11,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 48c | 22,388$10,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,641.75 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…054fbacked Over | 49c | 21,559$10,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,995.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…b341backed Over | 49c | 21,051$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,736.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…56d2backed Under | 51c | 20,779$10,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,597.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…8fcbbacked Over | 49c | 20,767$10,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.59 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…df31backed Under | 51c | 18,961$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…4659backed Under | 51c | 17,910$9,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…fcbcbacked Over | 49c | 17,665$8,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Over | 49c | 17,600$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,976 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…0fd6backed Under | 51c | 17,270$8,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…fb0cbacked Under | 51c | 16,666$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…e705backed Under | 51c | 16,490$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…beb3backed Under | 51c | 16,155$8,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…c0c9backed Under | 51c | 15,694$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 15,444$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,001.25 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…da49backed Under | 51c | 14,762$7,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,528.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…ad68backed Under | 51c | 14,620$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…4db3backed Over | 49c | 13,221$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,742.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…0d3fbacked Over | 49c | 12,923$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…6a22backed Under | 51c | 12,230$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…b4f9backed Under | 51c | 12,224$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…6433backed Over | 49c | 11,898$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…3ba5backed Under | 51c | 11,326$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…0c8fbacked Under | 51c | 10,508$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…3b22backed Under | 51c | 9,953$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…e5dbbacked Under | 51c | 9,117$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…eb3cbacked Under | 51c | 8,215$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…cb55backed Over | 49c | 8,110$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…1d4fbacked Under | 51c | 8,081$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e5…9e64backed Under | 51c | 8,043$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…70acbacked Under | 51c | 7,575$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…ca60backed Over | 49c | 7,068$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,217$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Over | 66c | 5,606$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 48c | 5,336$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.52 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 53c | 5,245$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.91 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 5,196$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 5,156$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 5,100$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…1aadbacked Over | 49c | 4,992$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 4,950$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 4,922$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7076backed Over | 49c | 4,892$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…d315backed Over | 49c | 4,775$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…b860backed Over | 49c | 4,566$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…6677backed Over | 49c | 4,521$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…2df7backed Over | 49c | 4,506$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 49c | 4,387$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.41 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ba04backed Over | 49c | 4,375$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…bf67backed Under | 50c | 4,355$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…3a79backed Over | 49c | 4,298$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 4,288$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…5a6cbacked Over | 52c | 4,288$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cc…883bbacked Under | 50c | 4,233$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…147abacked Over | 49c | 4,205$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 4,027$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.15 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…fd51backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d27…0987backed Under | 51c | 3,935$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…e081backed Over | 52c | 3,820$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc565…3d05backed Under | 51c | 3,788$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 3,769$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.39 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…0ce1backed Over | 49c | 3,705$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…d468backed Under | 51c | 3,688$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…dac2backed Under | 51c | 3,588$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2081backed Under | 50c | 3,388$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…191ebacked Under | 51c | 3,334$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 50c | 3,260$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 3,146$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…b8f8backed Over | 49c | 3,105$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 34c | 3,103$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.26 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…2be2backed Over | 52c | 3,055$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 3,034$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d35…ed56backed Under | 51c | 2,988$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 48c | 2,878$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 2,878$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.24 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…facbbacked Over | 49c | 2,864$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…9c66backed Over | 49c | 2,794$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…a8acbacked Over | 49c | 2,790$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…5ecebacked Over | 49c | 2,784$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 2,760$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.25 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 55c | 2,733$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cac7backed Under | 50c | 2,719$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…028ebacked Over | 49c | 2,688$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,624$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 49c | 2,560$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…60b3backed Over | 49c | 2,557$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5this page
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.