TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,188 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c10,639$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,715.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under54c7,654$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.1648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c5,728$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c5,000$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53dd…037fbacked Under52c4,100$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…f532backed Over48c3,968$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c3,962$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0714…6afbbacked Over48c3,950$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Over55c3,736$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…54f9backed Under52c3,688$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over9c3,188$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.8314438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.971,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c2,287$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1d…8946backed Over48c2,275$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87b…53dfbacked Over48c2,270$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c2,207$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce30…84b9backed Under52c2,205$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c2,156$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.271,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0e…c9cdbacked Under52c2,150$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1725…ce91backed Under52c2,135$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f6…dc50backed Over48c2,074$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebf…cfbabacked Over48c2,020$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c4…a4f7backed Under52c1,988$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…50d0backed Under52c1,877$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…933cbacked Over48c1,786$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c1,756$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.431,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46bd…ce81backed Under52c1,725$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5a…fdb5backed Over48c1,686$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a30…f466backed Over48c1,664$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x247c…9275backed Under52c1,574$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa91…7353backed Over48c1,556$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02db…2314backed Under52c1,551$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over48c1,463$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.769352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfcf…b155backed Under52c1,425$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0d…4b68backed Over48c1,411$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,411$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c1,279$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c1,261$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.972,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c1,199$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c1,131$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e52…6bb0backed Under52c1,011$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c913.8$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.311,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf47e…7a60backed Over48c899$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over48c710.69$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c707.42$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…d0a7backed Under52c666$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under50c603.75$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c591.12$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed93…5ffbbacked Over48c586$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d7…9610backed Over48c557$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb27…78e4backed Under52c477$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c354.74$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over45c312$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c282.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over18c282$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6520837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c220.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Over49c207$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.572564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under54c183.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9967248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c171.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under56c166.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.187843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over45c156$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Under55c150.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6621748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over48c131.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9916642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c130.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over51c113.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8830224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over46c87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over54c68.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.414047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under54c64.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over50c58.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.423446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c55.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.471,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45f1…0075backed Over50c50.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.394337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under51c47.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Under52c43.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.757445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Under52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.328145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under62c40.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3418242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under54c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c38.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Under45c36.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.045743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over49c30.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8212739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under51c29.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0976…922bbacked Under53c28.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Over45c25.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.032040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.