NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5634de345ccc8d50938f3312523d99f6b5971d2b90e34c3b911c7a97aaaac1eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,188 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 10,639$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 54c | 7,654$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.16 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 5,728$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53dd…037fbacked Under | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…f532backed Over | 48c | 3,968$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 3,962$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0714…6afbbacked Over | 48c | 3,950$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Over | 55c | 3,736$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…54f9backed Under | 52c | 3,688$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 9c | 3,188$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.83 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 2,287$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…8946backed Over | 48c | 2,275$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…53dfbacked Over | 48c | 2,270$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 2,207$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce30…84b9backed Under | 52c | 2,205$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 2,156$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.27 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…c9cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…ce91backed Under | 52c | 2,135$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…dc50backed Over | 48c | 2,074$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…cfbabacked Over | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…a4f7backed Under | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…50d0backed Under | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…933cbacked Over | 48c | 1,786$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 54c | 1,756$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.43 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…ce81backed Under | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…fdb5backed Over | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…f466backed Over | 48c | 1,664$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…9275backed Under | 52c | 1,574$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…7353backed Over | 48c | 1,556$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…2314backed Under | 52c | 1,551$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 48c | 1,463$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.76 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…b155backed Under | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…4b68backed Over | 48c | 1,411$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,411$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,279$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,199$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 1,131$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…6bb0backed Under | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 913.8$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.31 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…7a60backed Over | 48c | 899$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 48c | 710.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.56 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 707.42$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…d0a7backed Under | 52c | 666$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 50c | 603.75$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 591.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…5ffbbacked Over | 48c | 586$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d7…9610backed Over | 48c | 557$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…78e4backed Under | 52c | 477$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 354.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 45c | 312$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 282.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 18c | 282$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Over | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 54c | 183.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 171.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 56c | 166.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Under | 55c | 150.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 48c | 131.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 130.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 113.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 54c | 68.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 54c | 64.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 55.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Over | 50c | 50.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 47.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Under | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 62c | 40.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 38.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 45c | 36.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 51c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Under | 53c | 28.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…24c5backed Over | 45c | 25.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5this page
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Mavericks vs. CavaliersMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.