TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ball State Cardinalsof Ohio Bobcats, Ball State Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Ball State Cardinals66c5,094$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.643,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats25c3,006$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.695,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio Bobcats31c2,063$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.972,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio Bobcats12c1,715$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.682,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Ohio Bobcats22c1,666$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3672227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Ohio Bobcats37c1,273$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.022,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ball State Cardinals32c1,097$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Ball State Cardinals33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67013735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals57c977.03$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Ohio Bobcats69c868.65$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59827450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ball State Cardinals65c828.81$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ohio Bobcats27c797.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.72,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ball State Cardinals60c659.4$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.594,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Ohio Bobcats36c587.84$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.511,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Ohio Bobcats15c569.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Ohio Bobcats26c559.68$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.742740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Ohio Bobcats20c537.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1213840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ball State Cardinals68c510.78$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.771,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio Bobcats14c449.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.931,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Ball State Cardinals61c434.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.683148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Ohio Bobcats47c423.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ball State Cardinals37c386.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8112642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Ohio Bobcats67c377.61$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ohio Bobcats31c376$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ball State Cardinals33c303.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4452928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Ohio Bobcats10c297.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.193993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6052…c0c3backed Ohio Bobcats53c249.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.412556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ball State Cardinals32c230.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1989146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Ohio Bobcats33c199.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Ohio Bobcats37c162.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.081020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Ohio Bobcats29c159.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Ohio Bobcats32c156.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0881…7d9fbacked Ohio Bobcats32c153.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Ohio Bobcats43c151.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4732343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Ohio Bobcats68c142$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.565450%27 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Ohio Bobcats40c135.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.617557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ball State Cardinals31c134.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.791,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b4…a506backed Ohio Bobcats39c132.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.191225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Ohio Bobcats31c131.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Ohio Bobcats23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…6678backed Ball State Cardinals78c128.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.461457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Ball State Cardinals76c126.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.867965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ohio Bobcats27c113.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.341,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516f…9677backed Ohio Bobcats25c111.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Ohio Bobcats25c110.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0321342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Ohio Bobcats16c107.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8738343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Ohio Bobcats69c101.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Ball State Cardinals34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Ohio Bobcats24c99.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Ohio Bobcats68c95.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ohio Bobcats49c95.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4640252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Ohio Bobcats69c85.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Ohio Bobcats45c80.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio Bobcats26c76.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.893,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d5…b033backed Ohio Bobcats23c75.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Ohio Bobcats69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Ball State Cardinals68c63.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2431666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Ohio Bobcats65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Ohio Bobcats68c54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.724744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Ball State Cardinals66c49.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ohio Bobcats68c44.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88e…0837backed Ball State Cardinals68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Ball State Cardinals32c44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.924057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Ball State Cardinals32c43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.243568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Ohio Bobcats68c42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.567749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Ball State Cardinals32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Ball State Cardinals78c38.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ball State Cardinals33c37.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4425436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Ball State Cardinals32c37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.163148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed Ohio Bobcats68c36.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio Bobcats68c36.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.614,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…6aa8backed Ohio Bobcats69c35.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Ohio Bobcats34c32.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Ohio Bobcats68c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a8…1edbbacked Ball State Cardinals77c30.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe556…3157backed Ohio Bobcats69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ball State Cardinals59c27.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.241,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Ohio Bobcats38c26.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Ball State Cardinals79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Ohio Bobcats68c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.966546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Ohio Bobcats67c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.741,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x319d…6f66backed Ohio Bobcats67c21.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fa…07f3backed Ball State Cardinals59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fe…d2a7backed Ball State Cardinals67c17.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8695…2686backed Ohio Bobcats68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.