Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48768381b95c0af1f68a8215188c196d6f10082d5a4b977968c8f3b4399e8b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,889$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 45c | 1,165$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 873.59$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.49 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 677.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 46c | 372.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 56c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 47.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 39.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5this page
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State CardinalsBall State Cardinals won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-3.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-4.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Ohio Bobcats (-5.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.