TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34fe…d2a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.31
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$69.16
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$42.27
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+130.4%+$57.11
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+166.4%+$21.07
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.9%+$6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+32.1%+$23.25
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$30.69
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61.4
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+98.4%+$26.37
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+83.4%+$16.69
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.8%+$11.57
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.31
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.5%+$18.09
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+105.3%+$19.57
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.09
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+30.3%+$8.82
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.6%+$43.28
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.7%+$68.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Will US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.71
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$2.72
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.04
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.82
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.23
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+32.1%+$6.75
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42%+$8.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+43.6%+$12.31
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+79.1%+$21.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.