Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499ad69d983e45d9c561c35ef67aa8826f42f40f778339f80b67dfa7b69012c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 19c | 18,824$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 2,501$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0e…24dbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,475$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,993$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.61 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 1,917$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 18c | 1,838$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.8 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 19c | 1,605$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,411$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 1,401$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 20c | 1,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 8c | 1,083$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 80c | 903.38$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 829.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 13c | 775.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 19c | 743.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 20c | 665$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 20c | 651.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 10c | 619.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 488.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 456.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 10c | 391.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 363$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…5c68backed Yes | 9c | 359.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 18c | 328$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 315.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 306.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 19c | 283.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 234.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 198.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 13c | 149.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…8b0dbacked Yes | 15c | 147.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 133.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 21c | 125.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes | 19c | 118.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked No | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 87.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Yes | 18c | 83.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 19c | 69.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6862backed Yes | 19c | 53.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e46backed Yes | 29c | 52.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…449cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 80c | 48.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a0e2backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 80c | 43.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 66c | 26.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed No | 80c | 17.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…2750backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…d2a7backed No | 80c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.