TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Providence Friarsof Creighton Bluejays, Providence Friars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Creighton Bluejays56c17,385$9,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,715.272,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Providence Friars42c14,280$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.419950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Creighton Bluejays56c8,990$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.941,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc297…c990backed Creighton Bluejays52c8,082$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ce…6d68backed Providence Friars48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Providence Friars46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9922645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Creighton Bluejays56c4,504$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Providence Friars47c4,107$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.7381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Providence Friars42c4,096$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.884057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Providence Friars35c3,835$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.452,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Providence Friars75c3,569$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.482277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Creighton Bluejays47c3,548$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.155536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Creighton Bluejays53c3,197$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.021,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays45c3,147$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.445,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Creighton Bluejays61c2,885$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.62,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars62c2,505$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.915,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Providence Friars44c2,149$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.4440147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Creighton Bluejays10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Providence Friars43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars47c1,922$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.764,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Creighton Bluejays53c1,700$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.411650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Providence Friars47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.992250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Providence Friars57c1,590$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.737965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Creighton Bluejays56c1,559$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.312045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Providence Friars44c1,517$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.7339744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Providence Friars45c1,470$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.3213342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Providence Friars44c1,439$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.2689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Creighton Bluejays55c1,386$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.7774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Providence Friars30c1,376$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.8612435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Providence Friars27c1,374$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.561,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Creighton Bluejays41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Creighton Bluejays36c1,147$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Providence Friars49c1,091$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.722552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Creighton Bluejays53c1,037$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Creighton Bluejays65c1,008$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.62,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars65c996.19$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Providence Friars27c958$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.321,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars40c940$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5644,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Creighton Bluejays57c931$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Providence Friars47c921$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.1315851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Creighton Bluejays12c899.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.923028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Creighton Bluejays59c831.47$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.572965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Creighton Bluejays52c820.6$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7122250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Creighton Bluejays35c744.8$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Creighton Bluejays54c736.8$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.784548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Creighton Bluejays41c695.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Providence Friars37c683.15$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.112524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Creighton Bluejays65c660.63$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Providence Friars33c648.07$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.0711747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Creighton Bluejays11c635.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9614021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars46c612.09$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…abf7backed Providence Friars48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Providence Friars32c591.01$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Providence Friars26c572$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Creighton Bluejays18c562.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.325910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Creighton Bluejays54c555.83$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.267656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Creighton Bluejays54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02c1…7decbacked Creighton Bluejays71c538.8$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Creighton Bluejays76c529.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Providence Friars45c516.64$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7313842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Creighton Bluejays18c515.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.361,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Creighton Bluejays67c506$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.021,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Creighton Bluejays55c500.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.435942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Providence Friars42c465.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb9…d087backed Creighton Bluejays53c429$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Creighton Bluejays28c421.65$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.673993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Providence Friars49c408.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6748462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbc…68cfbacked Providence Friars48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Creighton Bluejays73c399.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Providence Friars42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9579448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Providence Friars32c353.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+120.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Providence Friars43c353.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Creighton Bluejays70c348.29$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Providence Friars33c334.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0635452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Creighton Bluejays13c314.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.68626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays53c306.08$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.683,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Creighton Bluejays79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Providence Friars44c273.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.119057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Providence Friars47c266.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3826254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Creighton Bluejays62c265.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.62,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Creighton Bluejays58c258.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Creighton Bluejays78c253.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Providence Friars27c251.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.443151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Creighton Bluejays48c246.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Providence Friars49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.911444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked Providence Friars33c223.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.141020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Providence Friars47c214.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Providence Friars26c209.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4819237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…5508backed Creighton Bluejays52c208$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ab…16efbacked Providence Friars48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Providence Friars48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1616755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae9…2d43backed Providence Friars48c207$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Providence Friars46c206$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2415356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4eb…4b12backed Providence Friars48c205$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…a6f3backed Creighton Bluejays52c205$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Creighton Bluejays54c204$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.166546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd10…bc35backed Creighton Bluejays52c204$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb076…9aa0backed Creighton Bluejays52c203$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…a655backed Providence Friars48c202$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Providence Friars50c201.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.719555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.