Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323127ac63b189baddffad6a687cf5711887bcfecaa9a9e6b013947d0f2d0bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Creighton Bluejays, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 4,701$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 49c | 4,486$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Providence Friars | 51c | 2,547$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…8a4dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 1,920$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.82 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Providence Friars | 47c | 1,378$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.34 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…c304backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 378$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Providence Friars | 49c | 331.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 291.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Providence Friars | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Providence Friars | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 186.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 49c | 152.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Providence Friars | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Providence Friars | 49c | 108.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Providence Friars | 49c | 91.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Providence Friars | 48c | 80.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Providence Friars | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 58.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Providence Friars | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Providence Friars | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Providence Friars | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Providence Friars | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence FriarsProvidence Friars won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 161.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-0.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.