Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c82afd390383d0c4574565584d8f7f2958bdec4c01aaeb840de1529f226e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 3,733$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.43 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 3,105$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,690$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Under | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 658.58$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 53c | 405$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 53c | 379.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 260.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 42.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 26.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence FriarsProvidence Friars won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 161.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)Providence Friars won
- Spread: Providence Friars (-0.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.