Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Providence Friars (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26085f2929ed4c6f8eacb12a47353d950f685bc783d9587b78bc465e297a828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Providence Friars, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 1,550$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Providence Friars | 44c | 1,368$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.08 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Providence Friars | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Providence Friars | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Providence Friars | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Providence Friars | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Providence Friars | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Providence Friars | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Providence Friars | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Providence Friars | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Providence Friars | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Providence Friars | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Providence Friars | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Providence Friars | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Providence Friars | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Providence Friars | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Providence Friars (-0.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence FriarsProvidence Friars won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 160.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 161.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-1.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.