NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a21b13ad4d4f3c220b70e73cb046cdf5d411f12bc50c3e1d6a919afc74c770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Golden Knights | 57c | 41,742$23,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,949.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sharks | 43c | 23,500$10,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,105 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 57c | 20,268$11,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,635.27 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sharks | 0c | 10,438$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Sharks | 41c | 10,366$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 43c | 9,989$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.11 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sharks | 43c | 8,837$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 40c | 7,070$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.04 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 57c | 6,902$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.97 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 42c | 5,988$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sharks | 29c | 5,393$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.85 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 27c | 5,246$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.26 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sharks | 0c | 5,083$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,600$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 4,345$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 70c | 4,091$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.97 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 24c | 3,806$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.27 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 43c | 3,598$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Sharks | 11c | 3,465$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sharks | 43c | 3,395$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 43c | 3,295$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Golden Knights | 58c | 3,159$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Golden Knights | 58c | 3,158$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.42 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 3,146$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.32 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 3,098$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.61 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 3c | 3,023$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,930$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights | 71c | 2,808$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.39 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…5915backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,575$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 2,500$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.91 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sharks | 1c | 2,375$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,360$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.71 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,091$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.26 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,085$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.21 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sharks | 43c | 2,068$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.11 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,010$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.3 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks | 22c | 1,797$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 20c | 1,514$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.11 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks | 43c | 1,397$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.77 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,355$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sharks | 7c | 1,347$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Sharks | 18c | 1,144$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,092$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.41 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Sharks | 39c | 1,047$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.1 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,045$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,043$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,000$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed Sharks | 8c | 999.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 992.94$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.97 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Sharks | 43c | 967.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 960$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 65c | 945.02$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 38c | 900$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 71c | 896.84$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sharks | 3c | 886.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…75fcbacked Sharks | 3c | 880.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e20…4dcebacked Sharks | 41c | 866$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 11c | 862.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…2c44backed Sharks | 41c | 859$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771e…38dcbacked Sharks | 41c | 850$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Sharks | 43c | 799.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…ed33backed Golden Knights | 58c | 790$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Sharks | 43c | 758.35$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 58c | 748.79$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 2c | 747.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sharks | 46c | 740.62$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.28 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…2867backed Golden Knights | 57c | 723.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…e1b9backed Sharks | 43c | 720$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Sharks | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked Sharks | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Sharks | 42c | 699.4$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Sharks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 58c | 679.38$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…a3b1backed Golden Knights | 69c | 659.22$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 630$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Golden Knights | 60c | 618.58$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…1dd4backed Sharks | 6c | 613.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…af81backed Golden Knights | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Golden Knights | 58c | 599.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sharks | 41c | 588$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sharks | 41c | 551.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Sharks | 29c | 513.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Sharks | 41c | 513.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sharks | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Sharksthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.