TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No73c23,640$17,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,236.424,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes26c20,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,800875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+75.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes30c16,673$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,675.512931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c6,625$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c6,423$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,516.9990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes29c6,227$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.0110250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No61c5,555$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.662665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,317$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.251,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No72c3,762$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.6417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c2,721$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.385232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.129055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c2,219$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.353,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c2,103$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.362,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c1,758$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.2169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c1,697$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked No72c1,650$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1883461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,484$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.8530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No72c1,430$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No71c1,364$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.2823452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c1,332$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.7220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No76c1,261$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.8619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c1,014$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.0811260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c1,014$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes24c828.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.476833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No21c764.45$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.033030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c726$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No31c689.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.916838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No51c566.81$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes25c563.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No56c516.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No21c501$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No48c484.46$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0512744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c482.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7614427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2843847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No28c399.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.498241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes29c393.1$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c393$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1740033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes28c359.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.28939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c358.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes78c335.19$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.452564%16 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe815…d964backed Yes46c332.11$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes79c327.43$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes22c307.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.716929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes38c292.11$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No65c270.4$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Yes74c232.68$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.411942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3053…8b0dbacked No25c222.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed No75c209.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.382035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.333414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2367…c5b3backed Yes25c200.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+98.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14442458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes29c193.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes28c189.86$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.71560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdd…f6babacked No22c175.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes60c158.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No54c151.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.352941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.43938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes36c128.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6315643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c125.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c117.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes24c114.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.832352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Yes32c112.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Yes47c111.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No72c107$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.045440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No72c106.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.654562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Yes26c104.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No72c101.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7d…1c5bbacked No35c100.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes78c97.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1416962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c90.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2914333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes27c88.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.893046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c88.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Yes71c86.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes22c82.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.546126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes26c80$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c79.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.99158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9210244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No74c74.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.472951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b30…a315backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No71c69.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2520452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.