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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c32,319$12,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,046.054,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed No32c20,000$6,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,608.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+75.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes24c14,999$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes21c14,030$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.972532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No78c12,297$9,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.454564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No76c10,680$8,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c6,262$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.5350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…6469backed Yes69c5,884$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c5,074$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.311,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.999625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9924347.3%115 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes69c4,650$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.683345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked No79c4,429$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.031392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb883…8f46backed No79c4,190$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+135.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No79c3,800$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c2,224$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes21c1,996$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.0917252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c1,888$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.3964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed No77c1,818$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.181275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c1,710$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.6590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c1,634$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.642,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c1,611$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.6869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cd…279ebacked Yes24c1,469$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes23c1,422$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No79c1,320$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.185651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.76672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.053369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc9…a4fabacked Yes23c1,200$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes24c1,120$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.822434.8%78 W · 146 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No30c1,000$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.795448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes21c999.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.99728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes23c991.72$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.135148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Yes26c990.65$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8670%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No77c982.36$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.475255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked No79c957.68$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.111172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes21c882.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No78c875.39$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5110245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c865$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No43c819.73$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.059957.6%57 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98a…1902backed Yes24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes71c763$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0319662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No76c737.92$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.15855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c711$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes21c679.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.669055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes23c661.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.557250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c656.43$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c623.52$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.653345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No77c599.99$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13821955.7%122 W · 97 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c597.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4163332.2%204 W · 429 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c574.85$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No78c566$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.182462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes24c558.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes22c554.63$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3818540%74 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151080%8 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7825…89a0backed Yes22c490.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No28c440.67$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2913969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No76c440$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No58c438$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7212744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes73c416.82$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes21c396.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3375157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…2807backed No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c370$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.153149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…4bb9backed Yes11c350.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes73c349.32$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No28c346.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4312727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No66c324.37$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.242650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No31c323.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.556145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c315.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.563,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a24…5043backed No79c305.79$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe4…e51fbacked No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No78c300$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6715049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94d…9282backed No77c299.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes12c296.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5815442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b9…750fbacked No78c280.64$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b4…13b4backed No77c271.27$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes24c269.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No78c260$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.243157.8%249 W · 182 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.744358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed No46c259.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2a…2f37backed No79c236.95$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c236.79$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes22c232.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…5b20backed No79c227.85$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…e056backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.