NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b1b999a27a0b4d28a6a6076bcf1bfa7dcab9ec103a0d9dae915dab0b8ad922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Lightning, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Blues | 36c | 191,105$67,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,133.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 64c | 63,525$40,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,656 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 64c | 43,555$27,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,874.91 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Lightning | 53c | 24,900$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.5 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Blues | 36c | 22,000$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,189.94 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blues | 51c | 21,979$11,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 65c | 20,020$13,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,013 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Blues | 35c | 19,441$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,636.68 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 65c | 16,747$10,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,829.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 65c | 15,524$10,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.59 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 64c | 11,632$7,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,434.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Blues | 37c | 8,500$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 59c | 8,345$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.33 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Lightning | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 65c | 7,000$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Lightning | 63c | 6,974$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.9 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 65c | 6,276$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.4 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 64c | 6,000$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 64c | 5,900$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Lightning | 65c | 5,538$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Lightning | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 46c | 4,880$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Blues | 37c | 4,812$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.96 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Blues | 48c | 4,673$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.67 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Lightning | 65c | 4,346$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Blues | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blues | 48c | 3,511$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lightning | 64c | 3,290$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.51 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blues | 34c | 3,231$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.14 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Blues | 35c | 3,069$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.83 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 65c | 2,991$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Blues | 53c | 2,579$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.06 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blues | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 65c | 2,462$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues | 36c | 2,414$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lightning | 64c | 2,398$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.54 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 45c | 2,340$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.36 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…8a89backed Lightning | 66c | 2,274$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lightning | 64c | 2,000$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Lightning | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 54c | 1,918$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Lightning | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Lightning | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Lightning | 64c | 1,803$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 61c | 1,782$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Blues | 36c | 1,736$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 42c | 1,731$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.1 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blues | 66c | 1,730$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lightning | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Lightning | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Lightning | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lightning | 64c | 1,518$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.58 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 65c | 1,512$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.7 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Blues | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Blues | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues | 49c | 1,428$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.35 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 64c | 1,420$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Blues | 37c | 1,400$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Blues | 43c | 1,398$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.52 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blues | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lightning | 1c | 1,388$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Lightning | 65c | 1,358$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…3a52backed Blues | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lightning | 51c | 1,324$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.28 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Blues | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues | 65c | 1,288$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blues | 33c | 1,253$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.58 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blues | 36c | 1,248$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.72 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Blues | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.97 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Lightning | 66c | 1,195$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.7 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 41c | 1,191$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.43 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,136$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.73 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 44c | 1,125$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Lightning | 48c | 1,070$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Blues | 36c | 1,050$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.27 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Blues | 35c | 999.97$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.98 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Lightning | 65c | 997.52$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Lightning | 66c | 954.8$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.17 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lightning | 64c | 950$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Lightning | 65c | 941.4$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Lightning | 63c | 928.34$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blues | 38c | 905$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Lightning | 47c | 844.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Lightning | 49c | 843.61$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.31 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…439dbacked Blues | 37c | 843.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…5e20backed Lightning | 61c | 837.62$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Lightning | 64c | 831.23$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Blues | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Bluesthis page
- Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.