NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa196032af337d6f24f820a2ecc4985086a3abc5524c94324247bdc42adc5e911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 17,841$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 8,712$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.62 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 8,578$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.47 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 7,979$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 3,440$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 2,566$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 1,886$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.58 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…6ca8backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…6960backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…e329backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…bc9abacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…811abacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…4cfebacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…314dbacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa463…73a2backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…36f9backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…d588backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…3c1ebacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…3e74backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…12a6backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…41c9backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…599cbacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…b090backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…bcedbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…bd5fbacked Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…b2bbbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…e686backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…38b3backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…d116backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…4d43backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…b178backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…68f4backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…3fa6backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…8976backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…a596backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…aee9backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…af8bbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…b35ebacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…7b25backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…e133backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d1…e9f1backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…9ac2backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e59…b952backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…a2a4backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…e7c8backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…cd0cbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…3b89backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…740bbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…b7a3backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…5af0backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…bb08backed Under | 48c | 1,410$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…aec1backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…ec33backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…8119backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…e207backed Over | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…c4bebacked Over | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 51c | 954.43$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 48c | 824.65$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.82 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Over | 47c | 407.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…db35backed Over | 52c | 320.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 13c | 318.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 268.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 50c | 250$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 247.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 244.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 67c | 205.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 25c | 185.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 52c | 178.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Under | 69c | 113.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 50c | 91.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 85.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 79.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 20c | 71.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 54.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 48.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…0d51backed Over | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 49c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Lightning vs. BluesBlues won
- Lightning vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.