NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83eeade977107ab024cf6bb9dc16c3cb28114b7174c3946eaa8cce5e3c76672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,745$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.82 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 46c | 1,900$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.15 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 44c | 1,377$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.27 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Avalanche | 58c | 856.07$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.07 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 43c | 796.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Avalanche | 54c | 528.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Blues | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 45c | 441.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Avalanche | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Avalanche | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Avalanche | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blues | 42c | 111.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…5fd0backed Avalanche | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blues | 45c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Blues | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Blues | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Avalanche | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Blues | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Blues | 45c | 66.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Avalanche | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Blues | 43c | 59.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Blues | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Avalanche | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Avalanche | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…666abacked Blues | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Blues | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…14debacked Avalanche | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Blues | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Blues | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Blues | 44c | 27.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Avalanche | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Blues | 44c | 26.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Avalanche | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Avalanche | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e5…108cbacked Avalanche | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Avalanche | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…e210backed Avalanche | 58c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Avalanche | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.