TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Blues, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$633,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$676,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Blues24c275,816$67,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,412.8210753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche76c155,478$117,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,069.615953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Avalanche76c125,975$95,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,225.4913553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Avalanche75c100,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0008657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues24c60,925$14,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,631.191,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Blues25c59,771$14,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,942.857946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blues25c21,928$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,391.6567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche76c13,864$10,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche76c13,157$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.662254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues20c12,489$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.021,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Blues0c10,600$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche75c10,387$7,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.6879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues25c7,996$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.981,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche75c6,941$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.891,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Blues1c6,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8126344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Avalanche75c5,501$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.1822852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues1c5,499$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.477450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche76c5,162$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.8839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blues25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Avalanche75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blues12c4,936$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.529926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Avalanche75c4,733$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.1211745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x326a…0ce3backed Blues11c4,615$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blues1c3,874$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cb…5ad0backed Blues0c3,723$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Blues26c3,500$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Blues24c3,496$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8391553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blues1c3,453$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.132504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.2575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blues24c3,333$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.0310850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Blues25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Avalanche75c2,670$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.383060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues24c2,547$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Avalanche75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Avalanche75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…7713backed Blues26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Avalanche75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues16c1,765$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.551,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Blues25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blues26c1,528$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Blues24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche76c1,442$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.522,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues23c1,332$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3847951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Avalanche80c1,247$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6815057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed Avalanche75c1,232$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues22c1,223$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.132,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche75c1,191$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.451,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Blues25c950$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Avalanche75c935$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Avalanche76c921.05$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.05366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues18c840.59$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.291,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche74c835$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.11,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche74c811$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.571,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Avalanche75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche75c800$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc491…61f7backed Avalanche74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Avalanche74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb6…3804backed Avalanche74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Avalanche76c757.17$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.722556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1860…cea4backed Blues26c692.31$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche74c610.81$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed Avalanche74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Avalanche75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Avalanche74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237b…dcc0backed Blues27c566$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.054240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche72c553.79$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.792,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Avalanche76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3241757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed Avalanche74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked Avalanche74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Avalanche76c480.84$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.46058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues13c421.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Blues5c406.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Blues25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Blues25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014844.6%66 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed Avalanche74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Avalanche75c399.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.827054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Blues27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+71.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Blues25c299.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.558947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Blues25c299.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Avalanche76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blues23c210.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Avalanche76c210.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5312548%60 W · 65 L-15.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Avalanche76c201.92$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4615145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Blues25c200.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6727544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Blues24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852946.9%248 W · 281 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Avalanche75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015050%75 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc30…85c6backed Avalanche76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Avalanche76c184.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.213450%17 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Avalanche77c140.44$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.512564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…e39bbacked Avalanche75c133.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625f…93b1backed Avalanche75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Avalanche75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed Avalanche75c132.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ea…f2dabacked Avalanche76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.585536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01d9…1c24backed Avalanche77c125.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.