NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e7c5a987e07d7999c721ad69db4a02bbc9046abb7539f3ae1e48e9eba22e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Maple Leafs, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,006,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,015,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 301,838$213,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,784.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 300,974$137,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,971.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Golden Knights | 54c | 131,669$71,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,567.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Golden Knights | 18c | 85,042$15,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,834.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 19c | 52,744$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,738.69 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 43,642$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 54c | 36,387$19,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,738.03 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Golden Knights | 53c | 34,678$18,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,298.49 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 53c | 32,821$17,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,273.46 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 54c | 30,005$16,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,802.35 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 29,662$8,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,587.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 22,505$10,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,343.54 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a6…2bd7backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 22,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 18,523$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.9 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 17c | 16,343$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,547.73 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 14,566$10,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,336.17 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 11,493$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 55c | 11,250$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 10c | 10,292$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.89 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 56c | 9,785$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.24 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 9,609$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.65 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 17c | 9,139$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Golden Knights | 20c | 8,958$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,166.92 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Golden Knights | 40c | 8,661$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.39 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 8,278$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,051$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.01 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 8,000$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Golden Knights | 16c | 7,610$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.69 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,956$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.76 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 6,048$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.81 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 54c | 5,269$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.03 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,790$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.4 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,685$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.12 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 23c | 4,679$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.12 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 29c | 4,675$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.42 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 24c | 4,580$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.23 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Golden Knights | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.44 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 4,394$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Golden Knights | 52c | 4,000$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.92 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…fa27backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,400$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 3,199$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Golden Knights | 42c | 3,091$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.34 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,005$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.26 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…51e6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 26c | 2,726$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.96 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…4e15backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 2,451$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,441$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.27 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 2,340$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Golden Knights | 18c | 2,286$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,200$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,105$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,066$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.44 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,016$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.55 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,000$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 1,888$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Golden Knights | 53c | 1,791$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.57 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Golden Knights | 18c | 1,750$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.38 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,746$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights | 21c | 1,739$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.3 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 15c | 1,621$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Golden Knights | 13c | 1,600$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.99 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Maple Leafs | 5c | 1,568$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,552$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.44 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,462$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.28 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,458$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.68 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…296abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,457$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…c13bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 26c | 1,401$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.76 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,396$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.18 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 1,366$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.45 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,346$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,342$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.47 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Golden Knights | 22c | 1,341$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.7 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…78d4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,312$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 20c | 1,300$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 17c | 1,297$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.74 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.