TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48f1…4d49backed Yes70c4,290$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca7…04d4backed No31c2,426$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.111040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No9c2,289$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6815932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No11c1,800$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.588142%34 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb609…3c8ebacked No20c1,628$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7a…01bdbacked No1c1,263$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No7c1,256$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7815026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No11c1,180$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.474615.2%7 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed No12c1,136$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5511017.3%19 W · 91 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes73c986.29$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.692532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No25c723.94$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1888448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf9…7f7fbacked No15c663.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No15c538.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8817921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0da5…ee92backed No27c537.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5e…37b3backed No28c502.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac0…071ebacked No11c495.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.471650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes41c448.78$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.185347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cd…4694backed No12c433$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No34c404.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.385313.2%7 W · 46 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-80.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No10c374.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4513444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No27c331.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4515650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No25c302.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.251,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713268.9%91 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes42c253.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.544440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed No21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x807b…d3d9backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eac…34d9backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…a5e2backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2846…69b6backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…33f7backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b0…4cf4backed Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0879…b4aabacked Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x370d…e4cfbacked Yes40c249$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No22c246.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2932255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No16c199.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1846330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ec…0ec4backed No17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18fa…8fa9backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…1a2bbacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8331…b58fbacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…d093backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…cb5cbacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aab…c402backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f15…6a90backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…76cabacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x770b…775fbacked No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d7…96d1backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…7a18backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e47…26c8backed No60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No12c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.337443.2%32 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…103bbacked Yes63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes78c147.08$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5910261.8%63 W · 39 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed No14c141$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed No13c137$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.313540%14 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes77c124.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.042733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No14c118.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2330233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed No60c118.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No68c117.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.563467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes55c117$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.254035%14 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc1…9c55backed No13c116.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6750%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac16…4f44backed No35c116.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.835768.4%39 W · 18 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x63ac…4127backed No9c115.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked No10c115$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No44c108.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.787129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No28c103.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7599017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211738.5%45 W · 72 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b0…bcdebacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…16b1backed No16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324250%21 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…9145backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…cde4backed No16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…f01dbacked No26c96.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0150%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac1…2326backed No27c93.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No63c92.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9215446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Yes72c88.83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.87850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…86b7backed Yes58c86.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8824…d492backed No13c85.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…3d83backed Yes58c84.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x376e…d654backed No14c77.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No41c72.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5439414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No31c70.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed Yes46c66.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.072240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed No17c66.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No21c64.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6517330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No62c64.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210652.8%56 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes70c62.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6413225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c0…b049backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No25c58.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7356314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes58c53.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.634669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes79c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.134650%23 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1402…febbbacked Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+106.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3d…82d5backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes78c45.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.822343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No24c43.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4427438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80af…0c19backed No34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7639…e89cbacked Yes40c42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x209b…834abacked Yes37c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.