World Politics · resolved market
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6bd8e629dd6f51b02c9c57adc5c6e4251c8d427109eff08bebcdd3462e923b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb2…9e2dbacked Yes | 57c | 5,221$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 2c | 1,661$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes | 7c | 1,005$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 36c | 998.48$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 2c | 829.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 4c | 757.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 2c | 631.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 40c | 413.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 361.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…314cbacked Yes | 7c | 300.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 7c | 241.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 10c | 205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685c…f46abacked Yes | 11c | 186.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 35c | 141.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 21cpaid | +213.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 70c | 92.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 75c | 29.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?this page
- Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No won
- Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No won
- Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?Yes won
- Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No won
- Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No won
- Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.