NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf068cacdf99e25965a6bd8eafdddd2652a708ba92b54a16f7d7a914fe5eb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,279,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,294,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,279,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Islanders | 40c | 512,772$207,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305,246.85 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Oilers | 61c | 300,000$182,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,911.13 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Islanders | 39c | 246,336$96,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,264.65 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 60c | 138,179$82,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,407.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Oilers | 61c | 133,500$81,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,435 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Islanders | 41c | 120,147$48,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,481.24 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oilers | 59c | 75,184$44,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,358.68 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 59c | 58,802$34,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,403.34 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 60c | 52,500$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Oilers | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 58c | 30,154$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.83 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 40c | 21,327$8,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,881.47 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oilers | 59c | 17,500$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Islanders | 40c | 12,593$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.13 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 39c | 12,503$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 60c | 12,475$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 59c | 12,350$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 39c | 11,307$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.34 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Oilers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Islanders | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 59c | 9,110$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 58c | 8,815$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.08 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Oilers | 60c | 7,350$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 60c | 6,268$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.8 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 59c | 6,000$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 61c | 5,639$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.79 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 59c | 5,423$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.56 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oilers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oilers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Oilers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Oilers | 42c | 4,630$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.53 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 60c | 4,611$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.56 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Oilers | 47c | 4,300$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.08 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 60c | 4,057$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.78 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…c92ebacked Islanders | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Oilers | 60c | 3,792$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.97 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 60c | 3,719$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Islanders | 39c | 3,709$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.49 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 40c | 3,650$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 41c | 3,488$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.92 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Islanders | 40c | 3,327$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.97 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Oilers | 56c | 3,307$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.52 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…9238backed Islanders | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 40c | 2,967$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 54c | 2,941$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.11 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.03 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Oilers | 60c | 2,767$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Islanders | 40c | 2,548$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.02 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Islanders | 44c | 2,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 58c | 2,134$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.42 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Oilers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Islanders | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Oilers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Oilers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.5 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Oilers | 3c | 1,943$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Islanders | 40c | 1,860$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.76 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 40c | 1,813$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.35 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Oilers | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Islanders | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Islanders | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…73fbbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Oilers | 62c | 1,499$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.87 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 58c | 1,487$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oilers | 59c | 1,442$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.75 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oilers | 60c | 1,439$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…8ba2backed Oilers | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 60c | 1,400$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.49 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,358$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Oilers | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 49c | 1,349$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Islanders | 38c | 1,342$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.93 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Oilers | 61c | 1,332$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 60c | 1,300$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.67 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Islanders | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 39c | 1,251$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Islanders | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,197$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.56 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91debacked Oilers | 62c | 1,175$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 43c | 1,171$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.68 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Oilers | 60c | 1,100$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.33 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…7636backed Oilers | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…02e0backed Oilers | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Islanders | 39c | 1,094$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oilers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…f25fbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Islanders | 40c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Islanders | 40c | 1,000$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.33 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Islanders | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Islanders | 41c | 975$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.25 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Oilersthis page
- Islanders vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.