World Politics · resolved market
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7e8eb0bd53b6adf3f18554b47856c4f6a3fec7511be3fac3eac6d956c527ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,831 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc536…589ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,338$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 66c | 1,013$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 71c | 960$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 73c | 807$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Yes | 27c | 787$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 34c | 774$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 27c | 765$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…2844backed Yes | 26c | 762.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 73c | 756$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 34c | 754$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 34c | 735$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 27c | 733$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 65c | 705$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked No | 66c | 683$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 25c | 655.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 66c | 567$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…ce19backed Yes | 23c | 549.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 73c | 459.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 75c | 400$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 12c | 359.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 35c | 341$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 35c | 324$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…a56dbacked Yes | 37c | 314$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…b13bbacked Yes | 37c | 308$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…8166backed Yes | 37c | 298$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b28dbacked Yes | 37c | 295$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…71e8backed Yes | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 284.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…5fd3backed Yes | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…cb2bbacked Yes | 45c | 279.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…0a36backed Yes | 37c | 269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 34c | 247$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed No | 59c | 230$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cee…5ff8backed Yes | 28c | 213.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked No | 68c | 199.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +376.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 193.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 184.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…f897backed No | 63c | 184$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b20…0624backed No | 63c | 181$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…0c39backed No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc06…d21cbacked No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…665ebacked No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…b61fbacked No | 63c | 173$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…9beebacked No | 63c | 171$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…dbd0backed No | 63c | 171$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…30abbacked No | 63c | 168$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…b4afbacked No | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…95d5backed No | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…740bbacked No | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab8…f77cbacked Yes | 20c | 135.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 132.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 129.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 68c | 128.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 61c | 124.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…9650backed Yes | 42c | 118.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 70c | 105.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 31c | 100.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed No | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 86.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 85.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…a58ebacked Yes | 40c | 74.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 16c | 73.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…5945backed Yes | 28c | 67.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 66.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 18c | 63.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8358backed Yes | 28c | 53.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +149%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 28c | 53.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Yes | 27c | 52.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 77c | 52.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 76c | 51.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 50.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…5196backed No | 67c | 47.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…e5a8backed Yes | 43c | 45.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 44.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…66cfbacked No | 65c | 44.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…746fbacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed Yes | 42c | 35.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…546abacked Yes | 42c | 32.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 78c | 28.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 38c | 26.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed No | 68c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?this page
- Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes won
- Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.