Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0642245337f62f570202360485d2fc4877e1e4d9678f95435327c0aa926d7ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 216,165$110,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,170.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 41,259$20,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,235.87 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 51c | 31,979$16,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,160.43 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 14,981$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 13,754$6,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,014.44 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 13,373$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820.23 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 8,589$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.86 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 50c | 8,300$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 7,913$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.55 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 7,704$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.55 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 5,118$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.37 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 4,823$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.06 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 48c | 3,995$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 57c | 3,516$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 69c | 2,910$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 50c | 2,408$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 2,363$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 2,352$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.81 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 1c | 2,189$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 53c | 2,143$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.53 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 47c | 1,827$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 57c | 1,765$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 57c | 1,677$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 38c | 1,251$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 36c | 1,190$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.86 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 60c | 1,071$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 980$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 50c | 962.06$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 49c | 905$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 3c | 694.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 566.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 38c | 540$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.23 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 499.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 53c | 450.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 45c | 444.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 439.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 41c | 430.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 73c | 380.56$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 342.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 39c | 340$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 335.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 332.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 282.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 58c | 259.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 253$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 48c | 206.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 53c | 184.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 170.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.