La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf9d8f6f69e03b9b65d6714bc7ec5c7a15e4cefdbca30fb51623ed1e4f7731b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 9,195$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.19 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 6,286$4,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.07 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 65c | 1,446$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 37c | 611.7$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 72c | 600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 37c | 539.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 408.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 293.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 75c | 234.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed Under | 67c | 224.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…4c50backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Under | 66c | 192.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 38c | 183$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…5cb1backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 43c | 113.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Under | 66c | 96.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Under | 67c | 90.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 36c | 55.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…f901backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 38c | 39.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 70c | 23.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 65c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Under | 66c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.