La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f5f9c23637b2cad336c18e096033d68e498b61b19bce414777213039da10a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof Club Atlético de Madrid, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 10,515$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 41c | 6,124$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié | 65c | 5,010$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.99 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.93 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 1,871$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 9c | 999.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 912.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 41c | 765.22$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.74 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 689$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.49 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 37c | 595$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 539.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 460$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 44c | 439.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 349.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 258.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 37c | 234.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 38c | 174.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 156.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 41c | 149$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 144.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 33c | 136.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 95.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 63c | 69.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 50.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…9994backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…e2d8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Real Betis Balompié | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.