TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over60c81,852$48,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,703.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c41,360$16,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,609.81,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c20,926$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,326.1490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under41c10,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9502373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c6,027$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.3930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c5,451$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.234,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c4,292$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74053246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under54c2,546$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under41c2,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4167353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under41c2,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41621957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c1,800$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.9818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c1,784$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.8964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over56c1,261$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.495145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under42c1,157$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.0620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Under45c1,100$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under43c844.67$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.696756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3992846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over45c688$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.65927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c649$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under41c640$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under39c433.34$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.348457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c419.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.093,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c400$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c381.26$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.574367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under78c364.1$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over47c331.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under41c299.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over57c299.49$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over46c250.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.131747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed Under62c250$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over56c234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under42c223.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.74057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c178.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0111947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under42c159.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under75c159.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over48c156$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4913052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…3622backed Under72c147.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c146.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over54c140$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under25c127.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over19c125.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c119.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.581,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under71c117.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over55c116.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c113.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under45c112$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over51c111.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.726752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fc…07e3backed Over59c110.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c107.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c104$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over58c101$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.587255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over44c98.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.596350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6429053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under41c96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over17c95.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.414938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over59c93.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over30c85.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over48c85.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Under42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.333850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.219153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.461,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.