TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c27,209$11,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,041.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c19,000$9,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,497.3713824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under24c6,157$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,703.3690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over78c4,162$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.641586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,486$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.3669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,203$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.453,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9738729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.472951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over45c1,205$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.252751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over62c1,200$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c915.57$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.361,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over78c889.61$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69013070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under19c789.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4332145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c782.47$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.681,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over74c689.99$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.592846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over37c619.91$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.162454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under13c606.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over40c497.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under65c490.71$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7521641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over80c472.25$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.82161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Over77c469.17$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.261450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c431.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over43c345$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8511947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c340.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.62,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over61c330$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over46c326.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…dff2backed Over72c315.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under26c263.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5961657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c234$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over79c202.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.013562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over51c199.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.985759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.55056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.434938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over32c158.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over80c152$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f7f…5ccbbacked Under14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.863100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+375.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c139.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.515443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over59c132$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over45c131.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.546350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under21c128.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.575139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over80c113.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.416962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c110$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over77c106.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.264050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Over74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8725551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5313760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over53c98.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over80c90$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over80c89.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.093568.6%24 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over43c81.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under45c73.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.554938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over27c72.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over56c71.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.956650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over74c66.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over42c62.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over29c57.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5613052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.478958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under44c53.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0427850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under22c52.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Over59c51.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Under24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+73%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over61c44.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over79c44.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.99071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over53c43.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.015343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Over77c42.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x105b…afa2backed Over75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over54c39.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Over56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over67c32.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223180.6%25 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over54c32.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3713457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over78c30.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.913626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0235…472ebacked Over44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe182…f87fbacked Over59c27.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e1…9aedbacked Over77c26.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under52c20.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433d…f9e8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over70c15.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.