TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8566…c626backed Over40c20,799$8,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,479.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c19,551$11,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,935.5190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under61c15,815$9,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,647.239743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c10,263$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,786.394,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.971662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over41c3,025$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7858853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over40c2,148$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.8226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under62c1,562$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.11977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6105735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.994334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under60c999.46$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.673548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3811345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over39c865$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.975151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c680.56$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5612875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under61c657.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under61c550.14$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.599348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under4c520.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.816839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over40c499.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.695145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over40c476.9$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.145967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over54c471.45$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.871872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c447.13$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.541,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over39c407.16$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.252,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.467850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over39c307.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over72c279.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.161573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Over72c268.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.287030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over40c264.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.582259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c263$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over42c245.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.431435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over42c241.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.288732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under60c240$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over55c209$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.092250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12616745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over40c187.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c156.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.551,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked Under60c133.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Under30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353040%12 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Over65c99.94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.985961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under60c96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under60c89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7516865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under41c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5910143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over42c80.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.952157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under58c79.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3814044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.954641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4622350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4633949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.433461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c69.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8624…768cbacked Over66c68.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over40c64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under61c62.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4220452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under42c60.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.87749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2830842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc9…f57abacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over41c51.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7819345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7812445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Under43c46.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234d…e8e1backed Under35c37.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Under60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a9…cf67backed Over42c35.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over39c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6437…60b5backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9306…cf80backed Over72c32.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Under60c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a57…4f76backed Over41c25.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under61c24.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1323250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e8…f566backed Under59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…663abacked Under61c18.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.