TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under34c32,295$10,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,980.371040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36e7…5b61backed Over66c16,000$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4403100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over66c13,050$8,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c4,715$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.3890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over67c4,479$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.074465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Over67c3,217$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.586764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over66c1,838$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.925152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c1,741$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.892,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c1,704$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.774,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.541586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24513070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Over66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under34c582$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over65c500.04$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7622357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over65c358.55$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.982123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Under34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under32c315.63$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Under32c211.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Over67c195.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.397030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under34c194.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under34c190.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3520452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over60c165.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5210761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1809…0d24backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over66c143.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under34c128$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over69c114.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.496756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over68c95.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under31c90.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.083548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…728abacked Over68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under31c79.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7421626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under32c79.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.38543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7624757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under33c68.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.266144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb41…618ebacked Over68c61.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca2…ad5ebacked Over69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over67c50.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.616962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.517744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.456962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783488.2%30 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Under32c44.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3214233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Over69c41.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over67c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over66c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over69c36.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4c…56bdbacked Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2313936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f7b…39ddbacked Over69c34.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over61c31.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.458040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53e8…c577backed Over69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c31.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8522157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992592%23 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+30.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over69c28.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.939071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over68c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3920857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…af2cbacked Over69c22.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cd…0819backed Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e11…834cbacked Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Over67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.66475%48 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4b4…15e3backed Over67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over66c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Over66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over66c15.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.212286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.