Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859f4ea96edf8e519a1bc0ee2947912fc6d1e52b4c614fdc77f69f550b78cde6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 37c | 66,552$24,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,760.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 38c | 44,695$16,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,710.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 39,441$24,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,453.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 11,578$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.32 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 8,131$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 6,307$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.24 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b6…9dbdbacked Under | 60c | 4,804$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 64c | 3,831$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.48 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 65c | 2,262$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 38c | 2,252$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.17 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 62c | 2,103$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.85 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 1,847$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.55 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Over | 75c | 1,656$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 34c | 1,269$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.72 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,090$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 63c | 900$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 63c | 900$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 63c | 900$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 63c | 833$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 38c | 752.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.64 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 63c | 720$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 63c | 700$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 63c | 600$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 63c | 560$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…057dbacked Under | 5c | 541.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 38c | 522.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 49c | 487.76$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 33c | 428.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.23 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 63c | 392.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 63c | 340$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 296.39$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 40c | 286.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 40c | 261.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 63c | 225$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 40c | 206$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 63c | 172.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Under | 61c | 164.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 61c | 163$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Under | 60c | 152$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 66c | 133.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Under | 64c | 129.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 59c | 129.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 28c | 126.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 63c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 40c | 107.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 105.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 64c | 100.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 32c | 97.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.