Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5782e1483984b90a2481ccb282fb9553f410607779360982d341759f487114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 65c | 91,420$59,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,019.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 42,720$14,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,952 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 10,799$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.37 | 2,564 | 39.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 8,049$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.38 | 3,288 | 42.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L | -74.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 65c | 5,608$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.93 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 3,387$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.25 | 1,691 | 45%761 W · 930 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 37c | 2,021$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.59 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 64c | 1,058$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 946.51$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 64c | 520.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 493.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,315 | 40.6%534 W · 781 L | -44.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 442.1$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 35c | 360$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 350.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 57c | 350.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 34c | 328$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 243.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 40c | 225.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 219.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 37c | 192.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 35c | 171.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Over | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 38c | 119.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 35c | 106$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 65c | 77.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…4ef3backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 68c | 75.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 71.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 68.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,108 | 50.5%560 W · 548 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 38c | 58.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 65c | 56.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 66c | 53.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 51.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 35c | 43.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.