Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b5663afa02a8f70b845b41ecb60ddd084f6c6c71a9ed6eda50e538b7f2e662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 14,570$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,753.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 8,322$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 25c | 7,895$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.84 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 71c | 5,617$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 47c | 4,116$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 3,207$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…c5fcbacked Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 1,322$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 1,152$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 1,129$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.42 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 70c | 990.83$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 63c | 795.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 76c | 655.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 491.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 68c | 474$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 25c | 403.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 398.85$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 75c | 328.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 214.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 52c | 188.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…768cbacked Over | 75c | 157.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 151.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 120.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 69c | 95.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…0779backed Under | 26c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 26c | 68.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 63.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…998abacked Under | 50c | 52.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…e72ebacked Over | 73c | 28.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…9900backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…b84abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.