Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafea4aca6ec17c0c732612bbb1948ccaee8a0879f03837e0b3eddd599f31e9eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 55c | 79,900$43,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,549.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 54c | 39,168$21,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,197.74 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 45c | 36,280$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,780.19 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 19,872$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 17,493$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.66 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 10,585$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 41c | 8,937$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 6,350$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 46c | 6,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 5,506$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 47c | 4,211$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.99 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 53c | 3,294$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 2,627$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,973$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.39 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 45c | 1,963$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.65 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.89 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 1,563$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.54 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 1,071$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 52c | 1,025$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,009$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 78c | 999.64$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 13c | 917.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 900$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 45c | 802.63$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.73 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 34c | 735.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Yes | 16c | 709.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 40c | 652.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.78 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 46c | 554$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 46c | 538.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 39c | 513.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Yes | 47c | 512.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 39c | 509.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 485.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed No | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 45c | 447.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 45c | 432$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 45c | 407.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 48c | 400.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Yes | 46c | 345.07$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 41c | 316.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 301.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 292.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 46c | 267.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 255.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 45c | 253.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 46c | 237$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 21c | 234.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 16c | 210$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 47c | 184.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 172.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 46c | 151.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…ca4ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 79c | 118.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 17c | 117.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 43c | 116.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 113.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.