Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732eabdacad5e4d4683a86978a1d0b77f08d7a7db0d6ffabd572c88dddf8da83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 21,281$11,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,568.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 16,683$10,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,343.34 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 8,238$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.4 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 1c | 4,999$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 22c | 3,210$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 43c | 2,947$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.66 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 2,671$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 2,358$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.01 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 31c | 2,296$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 2,226$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.83 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,968$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.28 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 1,889$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.93 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 70c | 1,232$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 1,135$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.68 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,029$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 46c | 1,004$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.84 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 969$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.42 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 27c | 900.47$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.66 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 825.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 76c | 819.16$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 679.23$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.07 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 62c | 676.21$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 23c | 613.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 63c | 496.59$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 439.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 37c | 410.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 25c | 364.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 54c | 339.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 75c | 335$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 37c | 332.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 298.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 25c | 294.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 280.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 280$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 234$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 78c | 227.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 221.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 23c | 217.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 189.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…534ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 60c | 106.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 68c | 103.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed No | 75c | 97.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Yes | 46c | 93.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 93.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 28c | 55.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 54.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…162ebacked No | 46c | 51.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 68c | 33.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 55c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 59c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 62c | 23.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Yes | 62c | 19.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…5b07backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 78c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.