Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x366adee084f118f566266671525b19bbb2ec8d82ec9cdfdd150e76044ad1be35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 3,330$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,072$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 69c | 439.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 72c | 403.11$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 191.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 186.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 33c | 178.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 33c | 99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 32c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 28c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Under | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 28c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 30c | 40.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.