TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43a4…7170backed Under48c35,818$17,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,287.921540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c30,094$15,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,047.1583440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50018335%64 W · 119 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c9,593$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.087,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c8,800$4,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2249227.2%25 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over52c7,774$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.521,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c5,162$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.065,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c3,568$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.7349046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f5…86a8backed Over57c879.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over52c826.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.923560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c615.27$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.482,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c606.54$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.542,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over52c575$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27610133.7%34 W · 67 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22526949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19614542.8%62 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c300$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1120572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Over52c260.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c258.06$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0631661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c244.47$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.832,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over59c240.06$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7314950.3%75 W · 74 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over36c237.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.843348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c236.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2625859.7%154 W · 104 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c216.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9611136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over55c181.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.812744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over52c121.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.215753.5%84 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c119.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1654650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over51c115.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.697652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3827856.1%156 W · 122 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over63c111.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7910456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.326149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044250%21 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388950.6%45 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Under28c94.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7e…50aabacked Over52c91.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.013050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914042.5%17 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over58c86.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.611359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6914257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over51c79.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.012462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under45c73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.853542.9%15 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8110756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.28253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8151356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under42c63.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.713438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e45…402bbacked Over56c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Under46c54.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.468658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4610156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over38c53.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.163145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over36c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.992548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over55c45.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.338844.3%39 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.059557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4839850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Over52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b2…7ac2backed Under47c40.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over62c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.728650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.648557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.648957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.647959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649456.4%53 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.649159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.646963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2516…ae1abacked Under47c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.659855.5%332 W · 266 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9d…dd29backed Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f37…acacbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c95…c056backed Over54c29.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b9cfbacked Over55c28.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.272429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…dd36backed Under47c25.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over72c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8722…e3bbbacked Over55c24.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.766960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c23.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9750146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Over55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc8…a6c1backed Under46c21.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Under50c20.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823061.3%141 W · 89 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.