Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a1991a235817f257b0fe8150fbfc59f3e4f22227f6c3ff643165ad406f5195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 19c | 999$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 885.51$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 35c | 748.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.24 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 65c | 576.46$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 68c | 334.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Under | 68c | 220$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 60.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Over | 25c | 47.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 37.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Under | 78c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 69c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2f25backed Under | 65c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.