Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ef7c98be7b0aaf788d5f37134f4675fc6d3ddc67324520803571a2edd36844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 18c | 1,238$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 62c | 1,037$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 19c | 800.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 674.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 306.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 17c | 172.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 170.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 80c | 111.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 100.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 22c | 94.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Over | 73c | 89.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 79c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Over | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 68.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 30c | 67.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Under | 26c | 52.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 31c | 38.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Under | 42c | 35.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 73c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.