Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d13a30a767cd2970781ad47f9f270c4a0cfffdf98c2d7c593092e4a43ae94b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 2,495$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.68 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 1,577$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.57 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 1,309$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,234$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 55c | 915$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 56c | 659.1$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 46c | 458.24$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 57c | 353.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 274.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 213$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 210.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 181.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 54c | 178.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 33c | 176.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Over | 57c | 143.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 63c | 132.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 58c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 55c | 87.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 54c | 79.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 58c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 70.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 32c | 56.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 54c | 51.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 50.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 42.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 26.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Under | 51c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 55c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.