Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa358629164d0a0fc70cb983dfb2ac362d8bcea2c8994a3d1def5f18c33c92809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 61c | 40,526$24,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,720.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 38,662$15,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,881.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 16,208$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,666.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.3 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.15 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 40c | 4,189$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.4 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 39c | 3,896$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.56 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 45c | 3,528$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 40c | 3,001$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.6 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 2,187$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 41c | 2,159$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.62 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 2,141$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 2,069$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 58c | 1,999$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.01 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 964$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…6fe1backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 40c | 810.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.6 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 516.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 319.38$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 39c | 274.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 43c | 256.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Over | 26c | 239.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 29c | 206.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 58c | 194.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 191.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…67a5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 40c | 156.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 66c | 148.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 134.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 116.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 58c | 76.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 59c | 75.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 58c | 74.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 28c | 71.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 30c | 70.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 43c | 68.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 39c | 65.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 40c | 60.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Over | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Over | 58c | 45.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 45.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 41c | 43.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 42c | 38.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 40c | 37.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 40c | 27.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Under | 40c | 27.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.