TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over61c40,526$24,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,720.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c38,662$15,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,881.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c16,208$6,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,666.882,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under39c7,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.319253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.996248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under40c4,189$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under39c3,896$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.568146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under45c3,528$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.545658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under40c3,001$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4752138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c2,187$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.894,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under41c2,159$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.625556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c2,141$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.472,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,069$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.322,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1803452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c1,999$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.0150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c964$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.071,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over61c900$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302d…6fe1backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under40c810.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.612324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c516.33$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under64c319.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.081,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1839749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c285.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7127748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under39c274.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3933753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under43c256.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over26c239.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.45825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under29c206.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8827948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over58c194.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c191.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1621049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under40c156.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae3…8753backed Over66c148.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over42c134.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3825550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over56c116.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.517745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd934…a590backed Over54c102$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over35c94.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over58c76.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.586947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Over59c75.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over58c74.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.168851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over28c71.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under30c70.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2145751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under43c68.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under39c65.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.886456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under40c60.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0111850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.218449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over33c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Over58c45.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.536650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c45.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256953.6%37 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.456241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over56c45.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3919133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under41c43.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9213360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Under41c41.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.722245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.213531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under43c39.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.536147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under42c38.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.338933.7%30 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under40c37.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.492955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202564%16 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over60c32.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4412748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Over59c30.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.716060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under40c27.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.682955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed Under40c27.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.