Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de77e77a1c899872ede39e9ff7aee1c39f076695a342a8598acdf687d58d369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 4,145$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 3,042$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 3,041$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.79 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…e094backed Yes | 63c | 1,008$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 37c | 477.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 62c | 359.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 60c | 330.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 270.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 222.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 63c | 198.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 77c | 187.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 179$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 62c | 149.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 63c | 102.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…65f2backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 63c | 85.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 76.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…740fbacked Yes | 66c | 53.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 61c | 44.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 74c | 40.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…3cddbacked Yes | 66c | 32.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 64c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…f954backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 31.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed No | 40c | 28.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.