TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7534…d51bbacked Under69c1,582$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Over31c1,390$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…92cabacked Under69c1,294$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e08…7e2ebacked Over33c1,271$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked Under69c1,208$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Over32c1,189$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c3…9cefbacked Over31c1,148$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked Over32c1,081$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4744…e229backed Over31c923$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x646f…23c3backed Under68c905$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Under68c896$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Under68c875$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Under68c844$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Over32c790$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Under69c776$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Under67c770$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Over31c754$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…be04backed Under68c745$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9859…0176backed Over32c737$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Under68c722$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa1…eb3abacked Under67c715$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Over32c715$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Under68c711$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed Over33c711$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Over32c707$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Under69c690$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+208.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Over32c666$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Under69c640$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d22…da8bbacked Under68c636$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Over32c630$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Under68c597$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb86e…e0ecbacked Over32c592$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c9…af45backed Under69c576$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Over32c568$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a84…f8a5backed Over32c530$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed Over32c523$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+168.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb28…74f4backed Under69c504$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Under68c498$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+85.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c65…5ad5backed Under69c494$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c478.57$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2681,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Over31c462$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Over31c455$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1caebacked Over31c445$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed Under68c444$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aec…fdafbacked Under68c440$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Under69c433$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7238…e52dbacked Over32c406$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ba…e6cebacked Over32c405$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Over31c393$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed Over32c368$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c356.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Over31c355$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Under69c355$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb00b…fbcabacked Under68c344$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x381c…dae1backed Over33c328$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+145.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed Over31c325$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+151.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ef…b300backed Under68c325$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Under68c322$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97d1…b2efbacked Over32c321$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…9184backed Over32c320$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd091…e046backed Under68c319$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed Under67c316$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed Under69c315$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Over32c312$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…1f63backed Under67c311$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed Over31c291$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Over32c290$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Under67c282$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec9…3213backed Over32c272$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed Over33c265$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c259.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Under68c249$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Over32c247$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…ee38backed Under67c240$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f87…3929backed Over32c238$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Over32c236$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+281.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Under68c225$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked Under69c224$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ab…434bbacked Under68c222$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…cfefbacked Over32c217$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b1…4336backed Under68c205$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Over31c195$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x246f…0ab2backed Under68c192$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ed…ec87backed Over31c188$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab21…4b87backed Over31c187$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5374…952abacked Under68c187$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Over31c178$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over47c168.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef14…bf21backed Under69c166$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5880…a675backed Under68c144$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Over31c133$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3684…9669backed Under68c125$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Over32c103$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Over32c92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under67c74.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.794942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaa…b550backed Over33c59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Over31c58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+139.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c55.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.732,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.