Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb71625b1acb2c40db460ad98260a6a9289a113f16c2beedf1141179bbd3d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cf…aef2backed Under | 49c | 2,469$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 50c | 2,405$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.36 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Over | 51c | 1,316$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Under | 50c | 934$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Over | 51c | 914$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Under | 50c | 778$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Under | 50c | 761$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Over | 51c | 591$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Over | 51c | 528$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked Under | 50c | 517$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Over | 50c | 517$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Over | 51c | 454$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Under | 50c | 454$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 383.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Under | 50c | 379$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked Over | 51c | 379$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Under | 50c | 374$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Under | 50c | 362$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Under | 50c | 327$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Over | 51c | 327$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Over | 51c | 311$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Under | 50c | 301$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Under | 50c | 269$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 258.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Under | 50c | 253$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 31c | 247.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Over | 51c | 233$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Over | 51c | 211$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 210.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed Under | 50c | 205$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 190$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Over | 50c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Under | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Over | 51c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 33c | 37.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…09a1backed Over | 80c | 27.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed Over | 70c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 68c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.